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myBytes GmbH

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Vention
4.9
1,001-5,000
New York

Software Development
App Development
Web Development
Blockchain & Web3

Profile Overview

Minimum Budget
> €1,000
Hour Rate
€150 - €199
Company Size
2-10
Founding Year
2026
Case Studies
3
Spoken Languages
Deutsch (German), English (English), Polski (Polish)

About myBytes GmbH

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Services

Portfolio

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myBytes Portfolio PDF

Projects

Commodity Intelligence: Volatility and Market Regimes for Soft Commodities

Case Study by myBytes GmbH

Commodity Intelligence: Volatility and Market Regimes for Soft Commodities

Consumer Goods and Trade

June 2026
July 2026

Artificial Intelligence

Sample Forecast


Description

Ongoing in-house research program on agricultural commodities (coffee, cocoa, sugar): when do markets change their behavior, and how well can we predict risk and volatility? Results are published as research articles on mybytes.com, each with a companion repository.

Challenge

Raw material prices swing between calm and turbulent phases. If you’re planning purchasing or hedging, you don’t need a point forecast—you need an honest picture of uncertainty, and models that perform in backtests rather than just looking good in hindsight.

Solution

Start with a transparent baseline: GARCH volatility models with a reproducible backtest design as the benchmark—then build on that with hidden Markov models to detect market regimes. Each stage is compared against the simpler one, and the code is fully open.

Results

A documented, reproducible model pipeline from the baseline to regime detection, published as a series of articles with open-source repositories. The methodology forms the foundation of our forecasting consulting for demand and pricing data in the mid-market.

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Further case studies of the provider

Team

myBytes keeps it intentionally small: when someone reaches out, they speak directly with one of your two founders. Guido Winger comes from e-commerce. He co-founded the open-source shop software xt:Commerce and led the company as CEO until 2010. Today, he focuses on data science, forecasting, recommendation systems, pattern recognition, prediction, and deep learning. Mariusz Pianowski has been building production systems for more than twenty years, including at mobile.de, Motoso, and Alphaonline. His strengths are data architectures, system integration, and customer analytics—the bridge between grown-up, established IT and a model that works in everyday operations, delivering business-relevant, decision-ready, and understandable data. Together, they built extensive training in AI at various well-known academies, earning certificates from MIT Professional Education’s “Applied AI and Data Science Professional” program and as Deep Learning Specialists from the Bitkom Academy. We publish our work as case studies with open code, which you can read at https://mybytes.com.

Locations

Hamburg

Am Kaiserkai 69 20457 Hamburg (DE) +49 40 60940415
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